eugyppius: a plague chronicle

Share this post

UKHSA Efficacy Stats Death Watch: Week 45

www.eugyppius.com

UKHSA Efficacy Stats Death Watch: Week 45

Blessed silence from Humpherson – maybe the efficacy statistics will survive after all.

eugyppius
Nov 12, 2021
219
226
Share this post

UKHSA Efficacy Stats Death Watch: Week 45

www.eugyppius.com

The Week 45 UK Health Security Agency Vaccine Surveillance Report dropped yesterday. Time for The Graph:

The report features a new section called VACCINE EFFECTIVENESS PUBLICATIONS (pp. 10–11), where the authors list all their studies showing why the vaccines are super effective at everything – another attempt to appease the statistical concern trolls at the Office for Statistics Regulation. Meanwhile, the Eye of Sauron gazes elsewhere, as noted imbecile Ed Humpherson announces that he is only semi-satisfied with improvements that Public Health Scotland have made to their test and trace statistics. “I have copied this letter to Roger Halliday, Chief Statistician, Scottish Government,” Humpherson declares. I imagine the Scots will soon call a new independence referendum, just to get away from this man.

The UKHSA efficacy numbers are still extremely unadjusted, of course. They mean absolutely nothing. Here, for example, are the totally meaningless unadjusted hospitalisation rates by vaccination status:

You can’t conclude anything from that; as the report authors say, “People who are fully vaccinated and people who are unvaccinated may behave differently.” We just can’t know.

And here are the wholly unadjusted 60-day death rates by vaccination status:

Again these are just totally meaningless numbers; “the fully vaccinated may be more health conscious,” after all, so the vaccines may actually be doing zero.

I haven’t consulted Humpherson, but I imagine the raw death numbers, at least, don’t require adjustment:

Half of all Corona mortality in the UK is occurring in the 80+ crowd, and 87% of the deaths in that age bracket are fully vaccinated.

226
Share this post

UKHSA Efficacy Stats Death Watch: Week 45

www.eugyppius.com
226 Comments
Gregg Anthony
Nov 12, 2021Liked by eugyppius

It's amazing that these numbers have been trending like this for about 3 months. And basicallly silence from anyone in the media or governments. So now the question has to be....are the vaccines actually causing the virus to continue to spread. There are studies that say the vaccine doesn't allow you to get full immunity when you get the virus. We might see that more going forward

Expand full comment
Reply
11 replies
Igor Chudov
Writes Igor’s Newsletter
Nov 12, 2021Liked by eugyppius

Great post. UKHSA is doing the impossible -- speaking the truth in the age of Covid.

I also wrote about week 41-44 and I debunked fact checker attacks on UKHSA statistics (involving outright lying, no less).

I also talk about OAS and link to your article about it.

We need to get our point across to people who never thought to doubt the official narrative.

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-death-protection-accelerates-downward

Expand full comment
Reply
224 more comments…
TopNewCommunity

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 eugyppius
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing