Blackouts threaten Germany as the proliferation of heat pumps and e-vehicles drives power demand to new heights
Here’s a disturbing report out of Starnberg, a wealthy suburban town south of Munich, where years of sustainability woo coupled with recently rising gas costs have induced an unfathomable demand for heat pumps. As the energy crisis looms and people fight to avoid high heating bills, these are subject to almost year-long back-orders.
There’s only one problem:
Despite all the euphoria … [h]eat pumps need electricity, and at the same time more and more e-vehicles are being connected to the grid. “In the Fall, all our lights are going to go out,” says [heating company chief Bernd] Krüger. And yet the absurdly long backorders could potentially forestall a blackout. At least that’s what [another heating company executive named] Achim Richter … is hoping for.
As prices for oil and gas have risen enormously, consumers are looking for alternatives. Those who can afford it, have heat pumps installed. Those who can’t are going to the hardware store and buying electric heaters, Krüger says … And all of that requires electricity, but the grid isn’t designed for it … “We're not going to be able to do that. The power grid is going to collapse. The blackout will come for sure.”
It’s a bleak picture that the CEO of the Starnberg-based company describes … In Gauting, there is a street where three charging terminals for e-vehicles have just been installed … “So a heat pump is already too much for the grid there. You couldn’t operate it at all.”
We’re looking at nothing less than the total failure of green energy policies. The Greens have spent years promoting electricity as the only environmentally responsible sustainable solution, shutting down our nuclear power plants, pouring untold billions into wind and solar which do not work, and burning cheap Russian gas as a fake “transitional” measure to hold the whole scam together. It’s no accident that former chancellor Angela Merkel, responsible for our disastrous decision to phase out nuclear power, fought so hard for Nord Stream 2. But now the Russian gas is gone, and random plumbers in Starnberg are praying that new heat pumps are delayed long enough to spare their fragile electrical grid new shocks ahead of winter.
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Between January and June this year in Germany, around 600,000 electric heaters were sold.
Last year, same period, around 450,000 were sold.
So it is not unrealistic to estimate the total number of electric heaters in German homes to be > 10M, as their lifespan is 20 to 30 yrs.
10M electric heaters happily turned on together will require 10-20GW of additional electric capacity, which is around 10% extra capacity compared to the currently installed one.
=> It goes boom !
The question is how graceful or ungraceful the degradation of the grid will happen and how wide and long the black-outs could be. For example would there be whole regions affected but not others, would it destabilize the grid in such a way as to affect other areas/countries, would this cause damages that would take days/weeks to repair etc.
I'm not endorsing violence, but from a solutions-oriented perspective, Karl Lauterbach would make excellent biofuel:
• "Letter to the German Bundestag" (https://margaretannaalice.substack.com/p/letter-to-the-german-bundestag)