Here’s a disturbing report out of Starnberg, a wealthy suburban town south of Munich, where years of sustainability woo coupled with recently rising gas costs have induced an unfathomable demand for heat pumps. As the energy crisis looms and people fight to avoid high heating bills, these are subject to almost year-long back-orders.
Between January and June this year in Germany, around 600,000 electric heaters were sold.
Last year, same period, around 450,000 were sold.
So it is not unrealistic to estimate the total number of electric heaters in German homes to be > 10M, as their lifespan is 20 to 30 yrs.
10M electric heaters happily turned on together will require 10-20GW of additional electric capacity, which is around 10% extra capacity compared to the currently installed one.
=> It goes boom !
The question is how graceful or ungraceful the degradation of the grid will happen and how wide and long the black-outs could be. For example would there be whole regions affected but not others, would it destabilize the grid in such a way as to affect other areas/countries, would this cause damages that would take days/weeks to repair etc.
After the first hard winter, I'm confident that Germans will tell the Greens to go to hell and start a crash program to refit their generation plants to burn coal, which Germany has plenty of.
Aug 30, 2022·edited Aug 30, 2022Liked by eugyppius
Don’t you see that scenario playing out in all countries that are blindly accepting the green mandates? It’s hard to understand how people don’t know how power gets to that outlet where they plug in their electric appliances and now, cars. For smart people, we are making a hash of our future.
What will it take for the normies to break out of the bubble and make CDU heads roll? They have let the Greens take control- everyone knows there aren't enough Green votes for these types of massive infrastructure changes. If I hear one more time from the German normies - we are all in this together- or Putin man bad.... ugh. The real crimes are agains the pensioners and poor- how can they possibly afford food or heat?
The sad consequences of decades of transforming "education" into "indoctrination". Victims do not know where the electricity in that "thing in the wall" comes from. Or care. Which is why they will not understand when the lights go out this winter.
There are still plenty in Britain that maintain the only way to solve the UK's energy crisis is a "Green Dash" to turn our grid over to solar and wind. Strangely very little is said about tidal energy, which is as regular as clockwork . . .
I own and operate a HVAC company in the US. The green push here is alive as we are required to meet higher and higher efficiency standards with our equipment. The added complexity for more efficiency means more control boards, variable frequency drives, variable speed fans, and increased sensors. I have seen a drastic decrease in reliability, a fan goes down and it takes out the control board plus the variable freq drive. All of it goes in the TRASH when replaced, frustrating me to no end. I don't see how this is "green" when equipment from 10 and 20 years ago is easily fix and refurbished. We were at 92% efficiency and the new "green" equipment is 96%. For a 4% increase, I see a drastic amount of waste not to mention angry customers when brand new equipment goes down.
It feels like the push for energy efficiency doesn't take everything into account. Much like an electric car on the side of the road being charged with a diesel generator.
What a beautiful conundrum! Everyone goes to e-vehicles, and they can't drive anywhere, because there's no "juice" to recharge them! Obviously, the "greenies" can't see into the future past the ends of their noses. And thank you, Angela, for closing all those clean, efficient nuclear power plants. Turn the juice off to HER house first...
I really hope for a massive and sustained blackout in Germany and ideally in most of Europe. Germans have voted for these shit policies and they truly deserve to suffer a lot this winter. Maybe, just maybe, that would cause these stupid sheep to think about the importance of energy. Morons everywhere.
My own mom has voted for the greens for decades. I told her today that she derserves to freeze a bit this winter in her gas heated flat. Obviously, she is still welcome in our oil heated house, though, it's my mom after all.
Sadly, this pain is--and especially WAS--inevitable. Pain is nature's way of instilling deep lessons. The only way to learn the lesson that there's no getting around the Second Law of Thermodynamics is for the catastrophic failure of Green policies. Germany will be Exhibit A in the modern world (see also Sri Lanka), but it is ONLY through the constant blaring of truths as laid out above by eugyppius that the proper course corrections can be made.
It's not enough to just survive this (and subsequent) winter. The zealots behind this insanity need to be exposed, thoroughly discredited, and dismissed from the public square. We all need to make sure that it's crystal clear WHO and WHAT are to blame here--and neither of those is Putin or Russia.
Between January and June this year in Germany, around 600,000 electric heaters were sold.
Last year, same period, around 450,000 were sold.
So it is not unrealistic to estimate the total number of electric heaters in German homes to be > 10M, as their lifespan is 20 to 30 yrs.
10M electric heaters happily turned on together will require 10-20GW of additional electric capacity, which is around 10% extra capacity compared to the currently installed one.
=> It goes boom !
The question is how graceful or ungraceful the degradation of the grid will happen and how wide and long the black-outs could be. For example would there be whole regions affected but not others, would it destabilize the grid in such a way as to affect other areas/countries, would this cause damages that would take days/weeks to repair etc.
I'm not endorsing violence, but from a solutions-oriented perspective, Karl Lauterbach would make excellent biofuel:
• "Letter to the German Bundestag" (https://margaretannaalice.substack.com/p/letter-to-the-german-bundestag)
A disaster of your own making. And the US Democrats can’t move fast enough to import this stupidity.
So exactly why do we want to make the same mistakes here (US)? Because we are somehow different?? Because it wasn’t implemented properly?
Where have I heard that before? Oh wait, I know.......
After the first hard winter, I'm confident that Germans will tell the Greens to go to hell and start a crash program to refit their generation plants to burn coal, which Germany has plenty of.
Don’t you see that scenario playing out in all countries that are blindly accepting the green mandates? It’s hard to understand how people don’t know how power gets to that outlet where they plug in their electric appliances and now, cars. For smart people, we are making a hash of our future.
I will be watching sadly, from warm and sunny Arizona this winter, as Europe falls into chaos.
My hope is that the European masses reject the Feudalistic plans of the WEFers and choose liberty over serfdom.
I'm not confidant.
What will it take for the normies to break out of the bubble and make CDU heads roll? They have let the Greens take control- everyone knows there aren't enough Green votes for these types of massive infrastructure changes. If I hear one more time from the German normies - we are all in this together- or Putin man bad.... ugh. The real crimes are agains the pensioners and poor- how can they possibly afford food or heat?
The sad consequences of decades of transforming "education" into "indoctrination". Victims do not know where the electricity in that "thing in the wall" comes from. Or care. Which is why they will not understand when the lights go out this winter.
There are still plenty in Britain that maintain the only way to solve the UK's energy crisis is a "Green Dash" to turn our grid over to solar and wind. Strangely very little is said about tidal energy, which is as regular as clockwork . . .
I own and operate a HVAC company in the US. The green push here is alive as we are required to meet higher and higher efficiency standards with our equipment. The added complexity for more efficiency means more control boards, variable frequency drives, variable speed fans, and increased sensors. I have seen a drastic decrease in reliability, a fan goes down and it takes out the control board plus the variable freq drive. All of it goes in the TRASH when replaced, frustrating me to no end. I don't see how this is "green" when equipment from 10 and 20 years ago is easily fix and refurbished. We were at 92% efficiency and the new "green" equipment is 96%. For a 4% increase, I see a drastic amount of waste not to mention angry customers when brand new equipment goes down.
It feels like the push for energy efficiency doesn't take everything into account. Much like an electric car on the side of the road being charged with a diesel generator.
What a beautiful conundrum! Everyone goes to e-vehicles, and they can't drive anywhere, because there's no "juice" to recharge them! Obviously, the "greenies" can't see into the future past the ends of their noses. And thank you, Angela, for closing all those clean, efficient nuclear power plants. Turn the juice off to HER house first...
I really hope for a massive and sustained blackout in Germany and ideally in most of Europe. Germans have voted for these shit policies and they truly deserve to suffer a lot this winter. Maybe, just maybe, that would cause these stupid sheep to think about the importance of energy. Morons everywhere.
My own mom has voted for the greens for decades. I told her today that she derserves to freeze a bit this winter in her gas heated flat. Obviously, she is still welcome in our oil heated house, though, it's my mom after all.
Sadly, this pain is--and especially WAS--inevitable. Pain is nature's way of instilling deep lessons. The only way to learn the lesson that there's no getting around the Second Law of Thermodynamics is for the catastrophic failure of Green policies. Germany will be Exhibit A in the modern world (see also Sri Lanka), but it is ONLY through the constant blaring of truths as laid out above by eugyppius that the proper course corrections can be made.
It's not enough to just survive this (and subsequent) winter. The zealots behind this insanity need to be exposed, thoroughly discredited, and dismissed from the public square. We all need to make sure that it's crystal clear WHO and WHAT are to blame here--and neither of those is Putin or Russia.
Angela Merkel should have listened to Donald Trump as regards the Nord Stream pipeline
But electricity comes from the hole in the wall?