A brief historical look at Corona incidences in Germany
This is a great analysis and addresses the artifactual issues I worried about in your previous analysis. Well done.
This is absolutely brilliant and undeniable! In 2 and 1/2 years of watching and reading COVID data this is among the very best! Job well done!
What you call a vaccine effect during the delta wave in reality was the crazy testing bias that was introduced with 3G: non-fully-vaccinated had to do daily tests to use public transport or go to work starting in November, while fully-vaccinated could go anywhere untested, even hospitals. This changed with the omicron wave, where many countries switched to 2G+ for social events, bars and restaurants, i.e. excluding non-fully-vaccinated completely and requiring tests from fully vaccinated (sometimes alternatively wearing a mask was sufficient, or having received the 3rd shot in the last 3 months). 3G on public transport and for work finally was removed in early May only.
This is an excellent explanation and comparison. Thank you for your amazing work.
They are hiding the hospitalisation rates per vaccination status from the RKI reports but the truth is coming out from everywhere. El Gato
also has a nice piece on the infection rates
showing the increased infection rates in time that can only be explained by the mass vaccinations. The damm will eventually brake. Thank you for poking holes in it!
Do you have vax uptake numbers for each of those small regions (what look like would be counties in US)? If so and this hypothesis holds up, it may even be able to make it through the current peer review firewall.
BA.5. is quietly hitting the USA now and I expect a similar result in where cases are going to happen the next 2 months.Interesting that we are basically acting like we should have in the Summer of 2020.A small percentage of die hard maskers and the vaccine program is completely dead.I have tentatively plans for a visit to Rhode Island in late August,the problem is they have the highest vaccination rate in almost all the USA and Providence is almost 99% vaxed (insane home of Brown University and where our current Corona overlord was head of Medical administration studies -Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH, ),I don’t even know if I be allowed to attend convention because they are Vax-tards running it.I kind of wanted to be there to witness narrative collapse and just be in a city that insane when it happens.All the other problems of liberal ￼ eschatology prophecy failure are happening as well, January 6th hearings are a joke ,the abortion decision took away their sacred rate.Really interesting times in USA ,mostly because of the last flames of liberty are built into our DNA and it’s getting plenty of fuel for the fire now.￼￼
Can’t wait to hear the myriad explanations produced through cognitive dissonance.
Occam’s Razor says it’s the jabs that did it.
My daughter's 2 roommates caught the SARS-2 virus 2 years ago but my daughter didn't and she had not been vaccinated. But then she drank the kool-aid and got vaccinated with the mRna variety and then got boosted and boosted again. Yesterday she learned that she caught the virus. She actually went to a doctor to get the Paxlovid medication but fortunately the doctor refused to give it to her. Another hopeless case but in my family unfortunately.
The magic of fake covid testing. These medical terrorists can create anything involving fake viruses and their fake variants and the public eats it up...hook, line and mRNA injection.
Saddened me to see ex-Soviet Baltic and Balkan states fully embrace COVID authoritarianism - they ought to have known better.
If Poland is going to be butt-hurt over Communism 30 years later, and constantly poke Russia, they could at least show they've learned something from it all.
The fact that this: "In summary: Lower vaccine uptake in the former DDR led to higher rates of natural immunity as infections surged in the Delta wave of Fall 2021." is now a controversial thing so say shows how ridiculous the situation is. Everybody would have understood this logic two years ago.
In fact, if I was pro injection I would embrace it still and say that is the risk-benefit analysis people had to make. Get covid and get immunity (or die) or get vaccinated and don't get (proper) immunity but also lower your risk of death.
Pretty interesting. Although in this part of world lower covid rates partly explainable by people losing interest in submitting to officially sanctioned procedures: vaccinating and testing for coronaviruses (i just had what felt like a common cold, stayed in bed for a day, recovered and happened to have a test kit I'd found lying around my worksite and tried it out just for lols - result was a positive . My supposed coronavirus case won't appear in any database.)
Couldn't this be a function of the most vulnerable, and hence most prone to (re)infection, being disproportionately killed off as dry tinder in the December 2021 Delta surge in lower vaccinated East Germany? While more vulnerable perhaps were more spared in West Germany leading now to a more robust East German population with proportionately less vulnerable per capita?
i.e. if you survived that delta wave in Dec in 2021 you're naturally going to be more resilient against omicron?
Terrific analysis for Corona incidence. One would expect excess mortality to follow a similar regional pattern based on the temporal patterns for Germany as a whole. Is regional excess mortality data available?
A little antigenic imprinting from worthless jabs and viola, common cold viruses become near-lethal to the jabbed.